BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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South Alabama
Class: 1A Class Rank: 79 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 140.05
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home L * 119.24 38 52 1A 93 ( 6- 7) North Texas -22.09 8.47 8.09
2 09/07/2024 Away L * 138.58 20 27 1A 64 (11- 3) Ohio U. -2.75 -8.30 -4.25
3 09/12/2024 Home W 156.65 87 10 1B 128 ( 0-12) Northwestern St 15.32 * 27.78 61.68
4 09/19/2024 Away W * * 169.87 48 14 1A 99 ( 5- 6) Appalachian St 28.54 -12.67 5.46
5 09/28/2024 Away L * 129.38 10 42 1A 13 ( 9- 4) LSU -11.95 -19.26 -20.05
6 10/05/2024 Away L * * 129.46 16 18 1A 115 ( 8- 5) Arkansas St -11.87 1.55 9.87
7 10/15/2024 Home W * * 146.03 25 9 1A 103 ( 4- 8) Troy 4.70 1.05 11.30
8 10/26/2024 Home W * * 157.55 46 17 1A 107 ( 5- 7) Louisiana-Monroe 16.22 -1.09 12.78
9 11/02/2024 Home L * * 133.68 30 34 1A 77 ( 8- 5) Georgia Southern -7.65 0.86 3.65
10 11/16/2024 Away W * * 144.56 24 22 1A 74 (10- 4) Louisiana-Lafayette 3.23 -8.15 -1.23
11 11/23/2024 Away W * * 138.71 35 14 1A 131 ( 1-11) Southern Miss -2.62 21.79 23.62
12 11/29/2024 Home L * * 135.97 38 45 1A 61 ( 8- 5) Texas St-San Marcos -5.36 -2.73 -1.64
13 12/14/2024 Neutral W * 137.62 30 23 1A 101 ( 6- 7) Western Michigan -3.71 8.93 10.71
Averages 141.33 34.4 25.2
Best game: 169.87 = 34 point win over Appalachian St
Worst game: 119.24 = 14 point loss to North Texas
Team stdev: 13.64